Stimulated by many good news, the black contract was active, and the spiral futures were even more than 100. The market confidence was greatly boosted, and the spot price also rose. The increase in the thread was more obvious, and the average price rose by 90 yuan/ton. . At present, environmental protection and production restrictions in Jiangsu, Tangshan and other places still inhibit the supply of building materials. At the same time, the real estate construction performance is ideal, including the infrastructure construction, the digestion of building materials is obvious, and the relationship between supply and demand is in a favorable situation. In summary, after the opening of the door in May, the next increase or relative narrowing, it is recommended that the cash out of the appropriate cash, should not be blind.
Macro hotspot
1, [black futures rose, thread, coke, etc. closed up more than 4%] coking coal, hot coil, eggs closed up more than 3%, asphalt, iron ore, soybean meal rose more than 2%, rubber, Shanghai lead, plastic, vegetables粕, Zheng alcohol rose more than 1%, Shanghai nickel, glass, crude oil, Shanghai zinc, Zheng coal, etc. closed up. Manganese silicon and white sugar fell more than 1%, and Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Copper, Shanghai Aluminum, Shanghai Gold, Ferrosilicon, and Shanghai Tin fell.
2, [the two cities rushed back to the weak volatility, the chicken plate led the software led decline]
The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3081.18 points, down 0.03%, with a turnover of 168.25 billion.
The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,342.85 points, up 0.18%, with a turnover of 216.94 billion.
The GEM closed at 1801.57 points, down 0.22%, with a turnover of 77.5 billion.
3. [The first trading day of the expansion of the interconnection and exchange quota, the net inflow of Shanghai and Shenzhen stocks exceeded 4.7 billion yuan]
As of 15:01, the Shanghai Stock Exchange daily quota of 52 billion yuan surplus of 49.609 billion yuan, accounting for 95%.
As of 15:01, the daily quota of Shenzhen Stock Connect was 52.62 billion yuan, accounting for 95% of the total.
4. [China's April new manufacturing PMI 51.1, expected 50.9, export orders are shrinking for the first time in a year and a half. 】
Market today
Raw material
Billet: The price of the national billet market has strengthened. Today, Tangshan steel billet rose 10 yuan / ton, today, Shandong, Shanxi steel billet rose 60 yuan / ton, Jiangsu rose 70 yuan / ton. Today, the steel billet in the Qian'an area rose by 10 yuan/ton. After the increase, the overall billet sales were general, and the prices of downstream finished products were stable and small. Tangshan billet straight transactions in general, warehousing stock around 3710 tax-included out of the low-cost transactions; steel shocks up, spot market trading cautious, individual varieties of finished products compared to yesterday's volume, the overall transaction is generally.
Domestic mines: The market of domestically produced main producing areas is stable. Prices in North China, East China, Northeast China and South China have temporarily stabilized. Specifically, North China-Tangshan 66% dry-based tax-included cash factory 625-635 yuan / ton, Qianxi 66% dry-based tax-included cash out 615-625 yuan / ton, Qian'an 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 635-645 yuan / ton; Zunhua 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 610-620 yuan / ton
Imported mines: 2nd traders offer enthusiasm in general, Shandong PB powder mainstream offer 470 yuan / ton, Tangshan area PB powder mainstream offer 475 yuan / ton; due to only three working days this week, steel mills have more demand for replenishment Therefore, the steel mills have higher enthusiasm for inquiry, and the difference between the price of buying and selling is small, and the market transaction in the morning is still acceptable. In the afternoon, the futures market was up, the psychological spread between buyers and sellers further widened, and the two sides continued to play. After the close of the market, the buyers and sellers reached an agreement, and the transaction gradually increased. As of press time, the transaction is as follows: Caofeidian Mixing Powder 320, Super Special Powder 285, Jinbuba Powder 415/413/420, Brazil Block 540, PB Powder 475; Jingtang Port PB Powder 467 Pre-sale; Tianjin Port PB Powder 485, Mixing Powder 330, Qingdao Port: PB powder 465, PB block 585; Rizhao Port PB powder 460/468, PB block 580, Jinbuba powder 418, Yang Di powder 376; Lianyungang: PB powder 465. (Unit: RMB / ton)
Steel spot
Construction steel: Today's domestic construction steel prices have risen sharply. In terms of specific prices, the average price of 25 major cities nationwide was 4,195 yuan / ton, up 90 yuan / ton from the previous trading day, of which Changsha, Chengdu and Guiyang increased by as much as 130 yuan / ton; the rest of the region rose more than 50 Yuan/ton, only the Kunming area has a small increase. At present, the demand for terminal replenishment before the May Day is released, and the steel price is obviously stronger with the futures. During the holiday period, the spot prices continue to rise, especially the leading steel mills raise the ex-factory price, the willingness to push up is obvious, and the market confidence is sufficient. In terms of specific markets, prices in the early trading markets increased sharply, and the spot trading atmosphere was positive. The intraday market continued to rise, but some market transactions slowed after the increase. On the whole, it is expected that the overall construction steel prices in the future will continue to be strong, but some market gains may have narrowed.
Hot rolled coil: Today, the hot rolling prices of 24 major cities in the country have risen sharply. The average price of 3.0 hot rolled coils is 4263 yuan/ton, up 62 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the average national price of 4.75 hot rolled coils is 4202. Yuan/ton, up 62 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. Stimulated by the surge in the futures market, market confidence has been significantly boosted, merchants are more willing to pull up, and market prices are gradually rising. At present, the market has relatively few inventory resources, and the pressure on merchants is not large. Coupled with the increase in the price of steel mills, the cost has certain support for the price, and the market still has an upward trend. However, with the rapid increase in prices, the downstream wait-and-see attitude is aggravated, so the price increase depends on the actual release of the transaction. In addition, the market price of steel billet has risen by RMB 50/ton, and the current price of carbon billet is RMB 3,640/ton. On the whole, the price of the hot-rolled market is expected to fluctuate strongly tomorrow.
Medium and heavy plate: Today, the domestic plate market price has risen sharply. The average price of 20mm medium and heavy plate in 23 major cities nationwide was 4,398 yuan/ton, up 48 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. In the early morning, the futures market was strong, driving the overall spot to rise more aggressively. In addition, most of the current regional spot resource inventory is low and the specification resources are incomplete, so the quotation is greatly increased. From the early trading situation, the transaction situation is slightly heavy in the case of good performance in the current period. Therefore, it is expected that the domestic plate market price will remain strong.
Cold-rolled coils: Today's national cold-rolling prices have risen. Price: 1.0 national cold rolling average price of 4,629 yuan / ton, compared with the previous working day price rose 20 yuan / ton. The main market price: Shanghai market 1.0mm WISCO coil plate offer 4540 yuan / ton, Guangzhou market 1.0mm anang steel coil offer 4580 yuan / ton, Tianjin market 1.0mm anang steel coil offer 4480 yuan / ton. Market: Although the cold rolling increase and the heat of shipment are not as good as the snail varieties, the business is cautiously optimistic, but the current hot and cold spreads are narrowing and the environment is getting better. The cold rolling can be strong even if it can't rise, so for the shipment. The speed requirement will be relatively slow. On the whole, it is expected that the cold rolling price will fluctuate strongly tomorrow.
Profile: Today's domestic steel market prices are getting stronger. Specifically, the Tangshan market was generally stable in the morning, and the turnover of the Chinese characters was weak, and only a few low-priced transactions were available. The slab in the plate was raised by RMB 10/ton, but it did not play a big role in the steel market. At present, it is understood that the inventory of steel mills is still rising, the inventory pressure is gradually emerging, the steel mill's recent maintenance plan has increased, and the current period has fluctuated and the probability of holding the stock in the near future is relatively high. East China's profile prices rose slightly by 20-30 yuan / ton, although the transaction is relatively general, but due to the steel industry and the futures strength, the market price has increased, but at this stage the terminal is not high for price acceptance. In the South China market, most of the steel mills today raised the ex-factory price, coupled with the current low profile stocks in the market, the merchants' price hikes are also higher, but considering the actual shipments, the morning prices are more wait-and-see, only the H-beam prices are slightly raised. On the whole, although the spot price has a higher cost support, but the substantive transaction is not ideal, so the spot price in the short term may be dominated by the partial consolidation.
Steel pipe: Today, the price of domestic steel pipe has increased. According to the variety: the average price of welded pipe 4 inch *3.75mm is 4408 yuan / ton, up 30 yuan / ton from the previous trading day; galvanized pipe 4 inch * 3.75mm nationwide The price was 5276 yuan/ton, up 29 yuan/ton from the previous trading day; the average price of seamless pipe 108*4.5mm was 5240 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. In terms of pipe factory, Tianjin Youfa, Juncheng and Lida ex-factory prices were raised by RMB 30/ton, and Linyi mainstream seamless pipe mills were offering hot-rolling prices of RMB 4,750-4,780/ton. In terms of welded pipes and galvanized pipes, market transactions are still acceptable, and black futures are rising again. Traders are generally optimistic about the market outlook. In terms of seamless pipes, market transactions are still sluggish, traders are not motivated to replenish goods, and short-term wait-and-see is dominant. It is expected that the market price of steel pipe will be adjusted and operated in the future.
Futures: Today's domestic black commodity futures are mixed, and the trend between varieties is seriously divided. Among them, the contract of finished products has risen and the contract of raw materials has fallen. The change of positions before the holiday is still not obvious. Weekly, due to the impact of environmental protection and limited production in the spot market, the finished product contract is significantly stronger than the raw material contract. Specifically, taking the snail as an example, from the daily level, the price is supported by the 5-day moving average and continues to rise, closing near the 60-day moving average. Today, the Yangxian line engulfs the physical part of yesterday’s Yinxian, MACD continues to attack the zero-axis, breaking through. Or can be expected. From the 1-hour line, the price is back above the 5-hour moving average, MACD is about to be a golden fork, and a short-term breakthrough will be formed. On the whole, short-term snails may break through. In terms of spot, the transaction performed well and the price rose slightly. Overall, black commodity futures will continue to rebound, suggesting to do more on dips and pay attention to positions.
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